If we want the Turkish-Libyan memorandum to be cancelled, we
have the opportunity now. We just need to invest politically and militarily in
the intra-tribal and intra-religious conflicts taking place in Libya.
Recently, new armed conflicts have erupted between opposing
factions in Tripoli. Greece has every interest in coming into contact with any
tribes and factions that are interested in allying with it.
We must fight hard to avoid the Turkification of Libya and its transformation into a neo-Ottoman forward base. Libya must be transformed into a Greek stronghold.
The Greek strategy for the region of Libya at this stage
should aim to remain decentralized and fragmented. A strong central government
should not be formed.
If, despite this, a strong government does form, separatist
movements should be supported, and we should help in the declaration of new
small states under Greek protection, thereby reducing Turkish influence in the
region.
In any case, armed groups with an anti-Turkish orientation
should be strengthened. The determining factor is not their ideology but their
narrow self-interest. If they want money and weapons, they should be given
them, as long as they align with Greek interests.
Post-Qaddafi Libya is a war laboratory for the nascent Greek
Hegemony. Greece can have parties, tribes, and factions as allies. It does not
need to invest in a centralized Libyan state.
At the same time, it must develop patron-client
relationships with movements in the area, where in the future it will ask in
return for these movements to act as auxiliary troops for Greece against
neo-Ottomanism.
Greece must gain experience in managing alliances with
non-state actors. Thus, the young Hellenes will gain experience in strategic
competition against the great powers.
When we say "Greece," we do not mean the occupying
anti-Greek regime. The formation of bilateral alliances in the region of Libya
can be done directly, with peer-to-peer horizontal political connections,
bypassing state mechanisms.
Hellenism and Hellenic Hegemony are not identical with nor
do they depend on the pseudo-state of the Rômeïkó (referring to the Greek
state). They are identified with and depend on the collective and timeless will
for power of the Hellenic Nation.
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